Post by Paul S Person Post by Alan Baker
And a fantastic set of infographics.
Does anyone really believe that China is only growing at 40-50 cases a day?
Oh, and the US now has nearly 36,000 cases羊anking it 3rd overall謡ith
nearly 400 deaths.
There appears to have been a change: I am reading of states urging
that actual /testing/ be restricted to health workers and cases where
a diagnosis would make a difference in treatment.
"If you are sick, just take it for granted it's the virus" is the
advice. "No need for a test".
The reason given: containment has failed.
So, that being the case, I would think the doubling rate of
hospitalizations/deaths would be the firmist indicator of whether or
not the spread has slowed. And how much trouble we are likely to be
in. And how soon we will be in it.
Certifying hospitalisation or death would also require
And testing cases where it most matters /first/
What does it cost? In containment, it's an important
part of identifying people to isolate. By now in most
countries, the new plan is just to isolate everybody.
Rich people are spending money on getting tested.
I don't mind that. Money is for getting things.
Today's paper was chiding someone in Britain who was
selling home tests for I think about $500, and it
said he gets them wholesale for about $150, but
I assume that it usually costs much less than that -
at least in the UK - when a doctor wants to test a
As a theoretically possible patient, I have a
thermometer. I can test myself with that as often
as I like. But the new idea is that /that/ may be,
so to speak, too late.