On Fri, 20 Mar 2020 14:50:41 -0500, Lynn McGuire
Post by Lynn McGuire Post by William Hyde Post by Lynn McGuire Post by J. Clarke Post by Alan Baker Post by J. Clarke
On Thu, 19 Mar 2020 13:01:11 -0500, Lynn McGuire
Coronavirus COVID-19 Global Cases by the Center for Systems
Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins University (JHU) on March
Worldwide Total Confirmed 235,404, an increase of 23,551 from 211,853
Worldwide Total Deaths 9,785, an increase of 1,061 from 8,724 yesterday
nda takes the time to explain their stores processes as they
become relevant to the story.
Post by Alan Baker Post by J. Clarke
USA Total Confirmed 10,755, an increase of 3,432 from 7,323 yesterday
USA Total Deaths 154, an increase of 39 from 115 yesterday
Does being bashed over the head with their keyboard for
post off-topic gloom and doom after having been politely asked not to
count as a Coronavirus death?
It isn't like you're posting obscure information.
And why aren't you also posting the total deaths from all causes in
the same timeframe?
How about because they're not growing at a ferocious rate.
Deaths from COVID-19 are doubling about every 7 days at the moment.
Presumably there's a limit there, though. If only because once everyone is
dead, they're likely to be very resistant to re-infection. And really,
there's got to be point where the survivors are scattered enough to stop
passing on the disease.
ObSF: Earth Abides.
At present COVID-19 deaths in the US in any given day are 0.14% of the
total. Posting the total gives perspective. Oh, it's so horrible, 39
people died of COVID-19 today. When you add that 28,737 people died
today of something that _wasn't_ COVID-19 then that's another story.
But it doesn't suit the "Sky is falling" narrative.
"California projects 56 percent of population will be infected with
coronavirus over 8-week period"
Why is California bothering with the self quarantine then ?
After all this time do you really not know this?
Or are you just trolling?
Nope, I am really curious. Or are they predicting 56% infection rate
with self quarantining ?
Wow, this author claims 10,000,000 dead in the USA with no quarantining
and 4,000 dead with quarantining.
If this is what the powers-that-be are looking at, then their anxiety
and efforts at control are perfectly reasonable.
I read an article on what I suppose could be called "medical
exercises" (analogous to "military exercises"), done first after the
Ebola situation, run again for the incoming Trump administration in
January 2017, and run by Trump's own government in 2019, which showed
-- well, pretty much what we've seen: a lack of preparation, different
states doing different things, shortages, economic problems.
The problem is this: even with the National Debt being used as a
credit card, there /are/ limits to how much can be spent. You have to
look not only at how bad it could be, but how likely it is. And a
pandemic is an unlikely event. The last one was 100 years ago. Before
that I believe you have to go back several centuries. So correcting
the problems took back seat to other issues (the Wall! investigating
Benghazi!). Unfortunately, unlikely as a pandemic might be, a pandemic
is what we have. Hindsight is, indeed, 20/20.
This is similar to a really big Space Rock wiping us out: possible,
capable of inspiring a great movie, but not very likely. In that case,
IIRC, we have/are establishing tracking stations so at least we will
have some warning. Moving everybody /right now/ under 10 miles of
solid rock is not an option, even if it would work.
Locally, we are waiting for "the big one". This comes along (IIRC)
every 500 years or so, and the last one was 300 years ago. But it
/could/ happen today. Still, what makes sense is to spiff up the
building codes, in the hope that, by the time the big one hits, most
buildings will be able to ride it out since the new requirements will
be in effect when they are rebuilt over the next 200 years or so.
And that is the difference between /potential/ catastrophes and
/actual/ catastrophes. The arguments used to postpone or at least
space out work on the former simply do not apply to the latter.
"I begin to envy Petronius."
"I have envied him long since."