Discussion:
OT: COVID-19: Remember: this is interpolation...
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Alan Baker
2020-05-21 20:13:38 UTC
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...and that science and facts are real...

...not "enemies".

'Counterfactual simulations indicate that, had these same control
measures been implemented just 1-2 weeks earlier, a substantial number
of cases and deaths could have been averted. Specifically, nationwide,
61.6% [95% CI: 54.6%-67.7%] of reported infections and 55.0% [95% CI:
46.1%-62.2%] of reported deaths as of May 3, 2020 could have been
avoided if the same control measures had been implemented just one week
earlier.


...

A more pronounced control effect would have been achieved had the
sequence of control measures occurred two weeks earlier: a reduction of
960,937 (900,114-1,011,498) [84.0% (78.7%-88.4%)] cases and 53,990
(49,688-57,186) [82.7% (76.1%-87.6%)] deaths in the US (Fig. 2e-f), and
246,082 (234,645-252,281) [93.8% (89.4%-96.2%)] cases and 20,427
(19,380-21,093) [93.7% (88.9%-96.7%)] deaths in the New York
metropolitan area (Fig. 2g-h). These dramatic reductions of morbidity
and mortality due to more timely deployment of control measures
highlights the critical need for aggressive, early response to the
COVID-19 pandemic.'

<https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.15.20103655v1.full.pdf>

Did you get that:

Just two weeks less inaction would have saved something like 54,000 lives.
Titus G
2020-05-22 00:12:34 UTC
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....and that science and facts are real...
....not "enemies".
snip details
<https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.15.20103655v1.full.pdf>
Just two weeks less inaction would have saved something like 54,000 lives.
Charles Packer speculates it is an elaborate hoax.
Jibini doesn't know any of those 54,000.
Dimwire says he doesn't want Dorothy to die but his reading
comprehension is still befuddled by fumes from Woodstock.
ozmajor is more concerned with his grand children's piggy banks.

Although classifying and recording have understated reported deaths, the
fact that at this early stage the US has close to a third of worldwide
deaths with less than 5% of the population is sufficient to rouse
concern without the need for interpolation.
The lives of the descendants of indigenous people and African slaves
appear to be no more important now than at any previous time in US history.
Ninapenda Jibini
2020-05-22 00:34:46 UTC
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Post by Titus G
....and that science and facts are real...
....not "enemies".
snip details
<https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.15.20103655v1.f
ull.pdf>
Just two weeks less inaction would have saved something like
54,000 lives.
Charles Packer speculates it is an elaborate hoax.
Jibini doesn't know any of those 54,000.
Dimwire says he doesn't want Dorothy to die but his reading
comprehension is still befuddled by fumes from Woodstock.
ozmajor is more concerned with his grand children's piggy banks.
Although classifying and recording have understated reported
deaths, the fact that at this early stage the US has close to a
third of worldwide deaths with less than 5% of the population is
sufficient to rouse concern without the need for interpolation.
The lives of the descendants of indigenous people and African
slaves appear to be no more important now than at any previous
time in US history.
And you, of course, blame it all on the Jews, which is why nobody
takes you seriously about anything.
--
Terry Austin

Proof that Alan Baker is a liar and a fool, and even stupider than
Lynn:
https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/sw-border-migration


"Terry Austin: like the polio vaccine, only with more asshole."
-- David Bilek

Jesus forgives sinners, not criminals.
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